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Blake's avatar

Thanks for following this issue. I’m generally an AI skeptic, which isn’t to say the tools aren’t useful, but more of a cautionary stance on their rapid adoption. Silicon Valley wants to displace the old guard defense firms like Lockheed Martin, Raytheon, etc. They point to Ukraine as proof the government should abandon the old weapon systems and adopt lots of drones and software instead. This has always rubbed me the wrong way. When Russia invaded Ukraine it attempted a U.S. style shock and awe with combined air-ground attacks, mobility warfare, and decapitation strikes. They failed not because of Ukrainian drones, but because they lacked competent commanders, effective doctrine and training, C4 systems, and used politicized intelligence to make decisions. This resulted in a WWI style trench warfare standoff where cheap commercial drones became a key technology. I guess what I’m trying to say is we should not be replicating these capabilities as our central doctrine, we should be investing in weapon systems that can bypass the need to sit in trenches and be picked off with drones.

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